New study challenges alarmist sea level rise claims, finds slower increase than reported

  • A recent study published in the Journal of Marine Science and Engineering found that global sea levels are rising at a much slower rate than previously claimed by climate models, with an average increase of just 1.5 mm per year (15 cm per century) in 2020.
  • The analysis of over 150,000 locations worldwide revealed that approximately 95 percent of the locations showed no statistically significant acceleration in the rate of sea level rise, challenging decades of dire warnings from climate scientists and media outlets.
  • The study concluded that local factors such as land subsidence, groundwater extraction and geological shifts are responsible for most coastal flooding risks, not global warming or climate change.
  • Historical data indicate that populations worldwide have adapted to rising sea levels over millennia without catastrophic consequences, suggesting that fear-driven narratives about rapid coastal flooding and climate refugees lack robust evidence.
  • The findings emphasize the importance of scrutinizing climate claims and comparing projections with real-world observations, highlighting that local environmental factors, not global CO2 emissions, are the primary drivers of coastal changes.

A groundbreaking study published in the Journal of Marine Science and Engineering has cast doubt on mainstream climate change narratives, revealing that global sea levels are rising at a much slower rate than previously claimed.

Authored by Dutch engineering consultant Hessel G. Voortman and independent researcher Rob De Vos, the peer-reviewed analysis compared historical tide gauge data with modern projections, finding little evidence of accelerated sea level rise due to climate change. Released on Aug. 27, the findings challenge decades of dire warnings from climate scientists and media outlets, suggesting that local factors, not global warming, are responsible for most coastal flooding risks.

The study analyzed data from over 150,000 locations worldwide, spanning approximately 100 years of records. Despite gaps in some regions, particularly Australia, parts of Latin America, East Asia and Africa, the researchers found that the global average sea level rise in 2020 was just 1.5 mm per year (15 cm per century), far below the 3 to 4 mm/year frequently cited in climate reports.

“Approximately 95 percent of the suitable locations show no statistically significant acceleration of the rate of sea level rise,” the study concluded. In the few areas where faster rises were detected, local factors such as land subsidence, groundwater extraction or geological shifts, not climate change, were the likely culprits.

Sterling Burnett, director of the Arthur B. Robinson Center on Climate and Environmental Policy at The Heartland Institute, told the Daily Caller News Foundation: “Global sea levels are currently rising more slowly than they have for much of the time since the last ice age ended… Any possible increase in the recent rate of rise compared with the past century is small, within the margin of error and not outside historical patterns.” (Related: Sea levels at historic lows: Why the climate alarmists are wrong.)

Why previous estimates were wrong

For years, climate models have projected catastrophic sea level surges, warning of multi-foot increases by the year 2100 that would displace millions. However, Voortman noted that prior studies failed to systematically compare projections with real-world observations.

“It is crazy that it had not been done,” Voortman told journalist Michael Shellenberger. “I started doing this research in 2021… ‘Who has done the comparison of the projections with the observations?’ And there were none.”

Steve Milloy, a senior fellow at the Energy & Environment Legal Institute, criticized alarmist narratives, stating: “Climate alarmists falsely chalk up all changes to polar ice melting caused by emissions-driven ‘global warming.'”

This study contributes to a growing body of research that challenges the prevailing orthodoxy on climate change. Recent analyses have shown that arctic sea ice melt has slowed over the past two decades, and a widely cited 2024 climate study, predicting $38 trillion in damages by 2050, relied on flawed data. Despite these inconsistencies, policymakers continue pushing aggressive carbon reduction schemes, often citing exaggerated sea level rise projections.

The latest findings underscore the importance of scrutinizing climate claims rather than accepting them uncritically. While coastal communities must prepare for natural fluctuations, Brighteon.AI‘s Enoch suggests that fear-driven narratives about catastrophic, human-caused sea level rise lack robust evidence. As Voortman’s research demonstrates, local environmental factors – not global CO2 emissions – are the primary drivers of coastal changes.

Watch this video about the book “Climate of Extremes” by Patrick J. Michaels, which discusses the hidden truth about global warming science.

This video is from the BrightLearn channel on Brighteon.com.

More related stories:

“Lukewarming” challenges the climate change narrative: A new perspective on global warming.

Small islands that climate change alarmists warned would disappear are actually growing, study shows.

“Climate of Extremes” challenges the mainstream narrative on global warming.

Sources include:

ClimateDepot.com

MDPI.com

DailyCaller.com

X.com

Brighteon.ai

Brighteon.com

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